TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,780 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No77c39,753$30,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,206.2558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c34,454$7,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,166.321,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes25c12,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No75c11,573$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.451450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes25c11,221$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.1370%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f0c…9fc9backed Yes0c11,173$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-76.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes1c9,965$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.33714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No77c7,000$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.972951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes25c6,012$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5031520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No78c4,996$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.113063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c4,991$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.4961447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c4,715$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.6112352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9613548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No76c3,167$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.461861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…6d6dbacked Yes3c3,092$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.01450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+413.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c2,600$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c2,571$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.7143427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48029136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes25c1,960$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes21c1,770$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.710733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes25c1,708$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No75c1,699$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.242470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes25c1,372$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.75248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes23c1,250$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9429445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes24c1,203$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7611743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c34…a10dbacked Yes2c1,186$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.832119%4 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed Yes17c1,047$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.231323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Yes2c1,027$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204314%6 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+46.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503850%19 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No75c999.99$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c7…a694backed Yes2c998.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+107.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c900$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…b795backed Yes3c706.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+113.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes22c700$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15414645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes2c625$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104122%9 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked No76c583.7$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.092544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes2c567.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Yes7c537.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.883548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No75c533$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.257625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd744…af4abacked Yes2c526.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes24c505.05$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.216127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No75c504$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3332…cf9dbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12040250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes23c461.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8113246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No77c450$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.511152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Yes2c442.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked No77c415.1$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.445437%20 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes25c400.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7c…4abbbacked Yes22c395.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes26c386.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes25c380$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958651.2%44 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf5…3f26backed Yes25c375.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe46c…5d5fbacked Yes22c352.36$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes22c351.6$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1711843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes21c332.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.938933.7%30 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes12c324.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2328…e304backed Yes3c323.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes13c312.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.371546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…2594backed Yes22c305.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No75c300.4$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7114650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6938356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6944955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No75c294$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.797140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c292$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes25c287$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.58647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Yes14c282.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c275.27$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes25c272.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.974632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes23c268.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6320643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.516753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…6b74backed Yes26c239.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No77c230$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.917855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa963…df11backed Yes26c227.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No78c213.92$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.426076.7%46 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0473…f001backed Yes25c211$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes5c204.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd212…f0f4backed Yes26c193.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ece…2340backed Yes26c193.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…9fadbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.