TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56f6…4568

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT7051.4%36 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$59.2
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$37.95
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.89
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.73
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.88
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.48
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84.63
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.36
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.09
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$20.66
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$92.02
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$61.42
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.1%+$1,182.15
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$557.14
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.26
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$375.89
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.37
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.78
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$86.58
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$121.44
Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 7? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$73.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$90.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$64
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.35
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$483.23
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+30%+$21.93
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.85
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.89
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.76
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.54
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$41.47
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$130.64
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$108
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$89.59
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$141.23
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.79
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$225.54
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+190%+$102.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.64
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$37.94
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Group Abacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.76
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.08
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+342.2%+$78.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,901.49
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$37.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.65
Devils vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.49
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,076.8
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$41.26
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+246%+$70.39
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.98
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.79
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+245%+$140.6
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.82
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$116.13
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.66
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.32
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.3%+$70.25
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+149.7%+$181.63
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.73
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$109.76
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.84
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.6
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$73.71
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.33
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$58.67
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$335.03
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.48
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.55
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.65
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$195.2
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$151.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$227.61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+809.1%+$354.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$231.35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.76
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$49.02
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$79.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.69
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$113.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+589.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+81.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+48%+$1,031.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.33
Will Amazon dip to $200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$374.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$388.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.