TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$598,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,219 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blackhawks38c165,514$62,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,894.2967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Wild62c120,000$74,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,60015054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Wild62c80,000$49,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,399.971968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Blackhawks38c70,245$26,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,692.9324349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blackhawks39c52,000$20,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,279.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wild61c36,150$22,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,098.5240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Blackhawks48c21,006$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.1812835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Blackhawks22c20,029$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Blackhawks32c14,912$4,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,764.2627448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Wild62c14,000$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,319.9926058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Wild54c13,079$7,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,027.8832744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Wild62c10,695$6,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.1632151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wild62c10,159$6,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.8645751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blackhawks38c9,737$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blackhawks39c9,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild61c8,872$5,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.961,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Wild61c8,051$4,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.2412047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Blackhawks39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7303435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Wild62c6,634$4,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.8716843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Wild61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3404546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wild61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Wild61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Blackhawks37c6,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9430552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Blackhawks39c5,200$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02815749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Blackhawks1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wild62c4,750$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.3827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Blackhawks13c4,498$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.26270%0 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Wild61c4,402$2,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.7729146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Wild61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blackhawks38c3,882$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks38c3,688$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.611,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Blackhawks38c3,640$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.1936748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild72c3,632$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.582,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Wild63c3,555$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.8910850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Blackhawks1c3,406$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Wild62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8131550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Wild61c3,225$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wild62c3,198$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.0851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Blackhawks39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wild61c2,932$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.742,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild76c2,907$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.421,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wild64c2,565$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.3936648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blackhawks39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wild69c2,521$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.812,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blackhawks38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Wild63c2,470$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.914954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild60c2,457$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wild62c2,436$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild61c2,262$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.0560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blackhawks38c2,233$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.5486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Wild64c2,222$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Wild62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7602245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Blackhawks37c1,662$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.013850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Wild63c1,531$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.5737754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wild62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Blackhawks38c1,498$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.138849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild61c1,456$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.8163249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Wild64c1,317$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.2748050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks37c1,288$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild63c1,232$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.771,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Blackhawks11c1,111$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.214912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Wild63c1,053$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.613253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Blackhawks38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Blackhawks1c1,039$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wild61c1,010$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wild62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a65…9142backed Blackhawks38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Wild66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3409853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Blackhawks1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13504%2 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Blackhawks1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Blackhawks19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Blackhawks1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Blackhawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Wild64c959.38$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.385658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Wild53c923.06$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8451949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Blackhawks39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wild61c839$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Blackhawks37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Blackhawks37c795$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1520147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Wild61c789.1$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9945955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blackhawks38c727.29$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc27c…369dbacked Wild62c703.5$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.332045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Blackhawks15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50a3…ea7abacked Blackhawks15c696$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0623348.5%113 W · 120 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Wild62c692$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9626551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Wild61c663.91$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8886549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…4857backed Wild70c650$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.521846.8%102 W · 116 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Wild62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.165949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Blackhawks39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Blackhawks37c623$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5179350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wild61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23445749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Blackhawks38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22811250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ede…17cbbacked Wild62c596.77$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.776958%40 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wild62c542.85$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.491,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Blackhawks38c530$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.45350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba5…7df2backed Blackhawks39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fa…eb17backed Wild63c505.73$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.731573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f25…6f07backed Blackhawks39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19511742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.