TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$677,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$685,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over45c585,999$262,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323,858.2720354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under55c250,000$137,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,50067051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c157,258$87,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,501.461,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under55c99,146$54,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,530.1439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under56c60,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,599.991,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over44c47,159$20,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,451.795050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under56c23,617$13,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,225.7151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under56c11,410$6,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,355.882,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under56c7,309$4,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,092.9936748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c5,527$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.152,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under56c4,464$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over45c2,513$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.8237754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over44c2,250$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2602646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over43c2,120$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.3914954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under57c1,525$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.2584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under56c1,478$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.481,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under57c1,059$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.6326551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked Over76c1,059$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over43c1,053$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.151,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under43c1,028$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.230348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under56c928.07$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under5c863.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.151,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over61c798.64$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.215563.6%35 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over45c780.49$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.493969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Under56c738.96$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.476857.4%39 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under55c722.4$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3259450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under56c703$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.683161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under57c680$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.62755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Under69c617.3$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.941060%6 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under56c613$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.287857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over44c589.27$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9914650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over44c575$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3228368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under43c550.28$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over44c514.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.3912653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over44c499.95$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9733837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf17…8408backed Over44c480$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c459.31$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.671,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c455.9$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.082,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over44c443.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.623339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over44c443.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.183145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7688…2558backed Under56c420$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under57c403.51$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23012544.8%56 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96f…7408backed Under57c354.03$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb9…c66fbacked Over44c332.58$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under57c329$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5334752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3218…a011backed Under57c324$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over53c315.27$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over44c315.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.412437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under57c301.95$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.113135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over44c291$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9614853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x983e…c5cebacked Under57c290$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.36142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Under58c285.89$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16527652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over44c280.09$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7928549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2d…2fb3backed Under57c280$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c274.1$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7682353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under57c263$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.914542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under58c258.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.710047%47 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under57c254.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.712335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over54c232.77$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.053,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca7…e1b0backed Over45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd04…0f93backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8433…7838backed Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac31…89efbacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over52c191.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4141340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over43c191.39$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.57352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over44c169.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6922853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over44c166.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.492751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0c…e405backed Over43c166$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under57c164$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.487152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Under57c164$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.481844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under57c164$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4815257.9%88 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed Over44c156.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.61850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under57c153.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3842948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over44c150.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.421747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee33…1822backed Over44c147.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under58c142.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9114152.5%74 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0eb…a7d8backed Over44c134.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under57c132$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.249347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Over44c130$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce0…18d6backed Over44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Under57c122.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.562450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c119.36$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.022,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6411650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c9…3aaabacked Over44c106.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156011.7%7 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92b…cc3fbacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Under57c99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.432548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over61c98.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.865151%26 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Over44c94.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.87875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+60.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under14c94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.161,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over44c91.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c87.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1278651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over37c87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.561,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over44c84.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.