TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f25…6f07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
220
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT11742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.42
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.82
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.28
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$173.31
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Devils vs. Starsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$194.15
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$55.8
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$60.42
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.27
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.75
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.52
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$252.54
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT8929.2%26 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.82
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$407.81
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$307.71
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.18
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.86
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.5
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.49
Spurs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.95
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.54
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.36
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$92.8
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$57.4
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.94
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.58
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$78.6
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.58
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nathaniel Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$122.76
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Josh Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.6
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$85.12
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$55.8
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.52
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$124.8
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.8
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$104
All 14 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.