TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,640,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,640,691 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets56c937,020$525,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,888.8867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Flyers44c460,444$202,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,595.3416442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers49c253,326$124,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,823.611,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Flyers44c200,000$87,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,999.9124349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Flyers44c90,744$39,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,866.8248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets40c72,824$29,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,399.2141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets36c60,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,399.9748545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Blue Jackets56c56,607$31,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,906.9536748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Blue Jackets56c51,172$28,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,515.8951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Flyers44c50,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Flyers43c25,714$10,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,941.0827448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Flyers39c20,147$7,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,813.1912838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flyers39c18,268$7,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0902,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Flyers45c16,316$7,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,358.5537754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Flyers46c15,200$6,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,990.141450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Flyers44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.812552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Flyers44c11,364$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flyers59c10,685$6,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,273.8240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Flyers44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Flyers44c9,406$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Blue Jackets57c9,406$5,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Flyers43c9,245$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,975.2721850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Flyers46c8,668$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.812330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets54c8,320$4,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.571,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Blue Jackets56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Blue Jackets56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers43c7,500$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.971,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Blue Jackets35c7,388$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,802.3262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets55c7,283$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.341,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Blue Jackets54c6,660$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.7411553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers44c6,098$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.4461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets52c5,989$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.8889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blue Jackets55c5,400$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.9943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers45c5,373$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41885250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Flyers45c5,324$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.7514062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Flyers46c5,283$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.235350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets48c5,100$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.241,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Flyers43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Flyers44c4,444$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.364139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Flyers47c4,433$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.6610938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Flyers44c4,261$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flyers44c4,174$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.4264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Blue Jackets57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Blue Jackets57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72015431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Blue Jackets55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets54c3,528$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.9883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Blue Jackets36c3,350$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.975959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Flyers58c3,303$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.1613252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Flyers44c3,218$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.9261953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Blue Jackets56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Flyers46c2,907$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.5148050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flyers44c2,888$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.1389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Blue Jackets57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.587755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Blue Jackets56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blue Jackets54c2,490$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.211,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Flyers44c2,411$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.0814650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Flyers44c2,360$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.411950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Flyers44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01215145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Flyers45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blue Jackets59c2,175$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.671,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Flyers44c2,161$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.174143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Flyers44c2,052$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.913357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Blue Jackets75c2,050$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.543951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Blue Jackets57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Blue Jackets56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets66c1,997$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.491,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Blue Jackets55c1,995$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.9327850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jackets74c1,933$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.141,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Blue Jackets56c1,920$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.647149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Blue Jackets71c1,876$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.0333234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e7…68d2backed Flyers45c1,855$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.691533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Blue Jackets57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3913946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Flyers44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers44c1,546$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers45c1,508$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.4763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Blue Jackets56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.6566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Blue Jackets60c1,400$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.5411537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Flyers44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Blue Jackets57c1,288$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8412355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blue Jackets56c1,259$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.8291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Flyers44c1,250$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Blue Jackets56c1,240$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.412458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blue Jackets47c1,205$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.2758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Flyers44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jackets41c1,127$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.4889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets63c1,107$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.252,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers15c1,100$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5660337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Blue Jackets46c1,088$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.8529448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets48c1,021$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.442847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Flyers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Blue Jackets57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd6…aafcbacked Flyers46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Blue Jackets56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…9126backed Blue Jackets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Blue Jackets55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504060%24 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.