NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed2389ef29c3676c9c06a3272f7fbf699457eb8db748bc9c327cb36f3c576b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,564 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 2,489$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.49 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 61c | 959.98$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.89 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 39c | 800.46$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.18 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 41c | 735.05$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.37 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 58c | 699.57$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.72 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 662.96$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.03 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 391.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 59c | 365$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 41c | 283.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Over | 43c | 174.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 126.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 121$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over | 56c | 107.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 105.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 44c | 51.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 64c | 44.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…b9abbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…8071backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 59c | 35.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 24.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Over | 59c | 20.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 65c | 20.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ce…ed4ebacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…8333backed Under | 58c | 18.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. FlyersBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.