NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd297eee76c070602db769d444d8952c5fbf86d96f2316117b3d74e88df16dcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Blue Jackets, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,296 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Flyers | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 4,101$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.33 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 832$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 565.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Flyers | 67c | 372.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 314.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Blue Jackets | 23c | 174$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Flyers | 65c | 170.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Flyers | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 104.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Flyers | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 86.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Flyers | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Flyers | 65c | 70.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 58.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Flyers | 66c | 55.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Flyers | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Flyers | 25c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flyers | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Flyers | 66c | 39.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 32.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Flyers | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Flyers | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Flyers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Flyers | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Flyers | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 79c | 20.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. FlyersBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.