NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8852b20bdf27c3f28d83ad3e3c9421dab7c8d205358ef9fcc215e6ac2e582671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 8,232$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.43 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 4,560$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 53c | 4,444$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.21 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…0b3abacked Under | 46c | 3,704$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ada…ecefbacked Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 3,260$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.3 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 551.92$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 439.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 65c | 372.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 242.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 35c | 235.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Over | 53c | 197.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…9f9cbacked Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…5858backed Over | 54c | 174.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9508…4ec1backed Under | 46c | 169.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 167.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…672bbacked Over | 54c | 164.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d2e5backed Under | 46c | 164$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…28dfbacked Over | 54c | 163.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ad…2963backed Over | 54c | 152.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Over | 52c | 147$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…5612backed Under | 46c | 147$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Over | 40c | 145.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…6ddebacked Over | 54c | 142.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…767fbacked Over | 54c | 140.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…113bbacked Over | 54c | 140.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…6960backed Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…b9c2backed Over | 54c | 139.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 139.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…f474backed Under | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…76a1backed Under | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…6600backed Under | 46c | 136$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…6a64backed Under | 46c | 135$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067d…f9b6backed Under | 46c | 135$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 39c | 133.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f29…963dbacked Over | 54c | 132.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 52c | 131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…4074backed Over | 54c | 130.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 58c | 108.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 99.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 95.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 87.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Over | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 81.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 48c | 62.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Over | 52c | 56.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 47.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 44.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 43.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 39.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 70c | 37.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 49c | 35.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Under | 49c | 35.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…0218backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…0f34backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Under | 48c | 31.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 53c | 29.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 28.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 51c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…243ebacked Under | 76c | 24.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 48c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 21.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c830backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…8071backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. FlyersBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.