TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65f6…8333

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$20.58
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+218.1%+$31.14
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+102%+$10.61
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+193.1%+$42.02
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.76
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$12.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+183.9%+$33.33
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+201.1%+$28.97
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$14.55
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+149%+$20.32
Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.73
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.51
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$8.96
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.7%+$33.24
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.61
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$10.06
Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.04
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$27.77
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$17.63
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$23.4
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$7.85
Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$20.49
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$37.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+379%+$75.8
Wright State Raiders vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+533.6%+$640.36
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.5%+$58.52
Duquesne Dukes vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Nicholls Colonels vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+57.1%+$11.43
Belmont Bruins vs. Indiana State Sycamoresbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.