NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ab918fb65ad8dea3c71dbdbd5b4d9cc06a2ade95b0e4ef6233c5130b6809081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,353 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 42c | 15,941$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702.05 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under | 58c | 15,912$9,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,737.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 11,389$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.9 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 57c | 7,915$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.69 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 57c | 5,692$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.87 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 56c | 2,779$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.79 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 57c | 1,999$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.07 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 1,377$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.01 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 61c | 1,149$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 958$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.49 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 55c | 954.54$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.54 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 43c | 715.16$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.47 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Over | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 56c | 425.2$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 352.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 44c | 338$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 274.01$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Under | 58c | 237.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Under | 65c | 203$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 44c | 198.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Under | 57c | 176.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 133.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…45eabacked Over | 45c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 43c | 122.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Over | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 114.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 44c | 111.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 106.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 32c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 44c | 104.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 45c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Under | 57c | 82.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Under | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Over | 44c | 76.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Over | 40c | 70.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Over | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…3c95backed Under | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…f190backed Under | 60c | 41.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 59c | 41.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Under | 57c | 38.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…8333backed Over | 35c | 35.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 57c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Over | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 58c | 30.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Under | 69c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4b…4998backed Under | 57c | 26.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…e7cebacked Under | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3e…7547backed Over | 43c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…f59abacked Over | 45c | 23.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39a…b9bfbacked Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…cc21backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…6822backed Under | 57c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. RangersSenators won
- Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.