TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,044 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under46c12,978$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,027.9136648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c6,806$3,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.1441842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over54c4,400$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3761952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c3,631$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under44c2,982$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.888544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c2,263$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.081,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c1,676$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.871,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under49c1,282$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.1731828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,083$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.952,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.997357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under46c876$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.186852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c800.32$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1750251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under47c800$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c694.27$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.151,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over57c612.72$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c586.21$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.281,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c557.42$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.715855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.520655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over56c496.86$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2428549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c445.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over55c431.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.591553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over54c395.03$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Under50c356.47$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.475851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under48c314.2$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3818557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over49c278.64$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3941340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over56c270$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.222543.1%97 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under46c260.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.876453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Over55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c248.85$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c245.65$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5682353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c217$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over56c213.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005044%22 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.659950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under45c156$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.825337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under71c115.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.421,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under44c115.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.675052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over54c106.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.748837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under71c99.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3337857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under51c82.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.444652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under54c74.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c65.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.156553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over56c62.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over56c62.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.997936.7%29 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0ba0…811dbacked Over56c62.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Under46c60.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.082352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7761…a255backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over54c53.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9448552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c52.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6786049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over56c51.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under44c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3216746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259156%51 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c43.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.221,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over57c40.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.18845.5%40 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c40.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3942948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228060%48 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c6…7ff9backed Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Under47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd6…24c5backed Under45c37.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b1…18ffbacked Over55c36.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under46c35.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3717442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4c…394abacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over56c35.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over56c35.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6419951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under44c34.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2414551%74 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Over55c34.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8311258.9%66 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.23050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca24…a92abacked Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under77c26.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2792049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Under46c25.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.563557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7132…f7f0backed Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148351.8%43 W · 40 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147140.8%29 W · 42 L-13.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-32.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146271%44 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under44c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7314743.5%64 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Over56c22.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.611353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Over55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210262.7%64 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Over56c21.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under65c21.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.282951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.