TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8755…e152

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT7140.8%29 W · 42 L-13.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-32.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
NHL — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.97
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.26
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$11.31
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.98
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$9.1
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$11.71
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+50%+$13.99
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Flames vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.58
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.89
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+41%+$18.64
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST3441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+68.4%+$30.33
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$35.94
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+386.9%+$72.3
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.11
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.43
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$26.12
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.44
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.88
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.67
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+89.3%+$13.51
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.77
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.91
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.31
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$33.34
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+87.1%+$17.37
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.88
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$30.48
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.27
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$39.88
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$8.24
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$15.52
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$8.83
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.74
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 125.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.89
Alcorn State Braves vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.42
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.13
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Murray State Racersbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.84
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.3
Marist Red Foxes vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 128.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.3
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.06
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.87
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.74
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+77.1%+$11.56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.7%+$119.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+672.2%+$336.12
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$39.77
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$17.64
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$15.26
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Shem Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.89
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$20.06
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jesus Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.53
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96.83
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.98
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.29
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.98
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.2%+$7.06
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.78
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.58
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.33
UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Gafurov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cachoeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$9.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.91
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.96
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$20.12
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.38
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.62
LoL: Solary vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$11.18
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25.3%+$10.12
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$18.98
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.38
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-74%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.29
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$59.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+46.9%+$6.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$113.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.