NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26c0d7b33399a9f391515d002c4aba5243dc3c4851a8dc914ce3ca35fb6076ab

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Lakers, 76ers
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,993 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,549.96	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers	48c	3,246$1,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,555.86	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers	50c	3,085$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,536.87	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Lakers	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.99	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Lakers	49c	2,939$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,498.78	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers	51c	2,841$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,389.5	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers	47c	2,448$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,297.38	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed 76ers	47c	1,575$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.25	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers	52c	1,332$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.85	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Lakers	49c	1,261$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.22	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers	32c	1,177$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.38	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked 76ers	48c	1,035$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.8	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers	53c	800$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.57	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers	48c	614.16$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.12	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Lakers	59c	606.98$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.98	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers	41c	574.26$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed 76ers	46c	534$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.64	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Lakers	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed 76ers	51c	490.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	253	47%119 W · 134 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Lakers	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers	50c	401.2$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.6	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Lakers	45c	387$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.85	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers	47c	359.25$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.86	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Lakers	50c	326.72$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.36	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Lakers	61c	321.38$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.34	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed 76ers	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed 76ers	55c	292.26$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.54	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Lakers	53c	283.67$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.32	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Lakers	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Lakers	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers	50c	167.83$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.18	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Lakers	61c	153.11$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.71	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed 76ers	48c	143.78$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.01	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed 76ers	48c	143.75$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Lakers	44c	133.87$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.97	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Lakers	61c	112.44$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.85	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a2…6f00backed 76ers	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers	47c	107.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.65	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Lakers	52c	106.25$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Lakers	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80bd…1f70backed Lakers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers	49c	99.41$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.2	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed 76ers	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Lakers	53c	90$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.3	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Lakers	53c	88.81$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.08	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c9c…6b57backed Lakers	52c	84.67$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.64	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Lakers	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed 76ers	54c	81.5$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.01	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers	41c	81.21$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.48	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Lakers	61c	77.39$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Lakers	59c	69.25$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.39	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed Lakers	61c	66.97$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.12	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Lakers	60c	62.33$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.94	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked 76ers	54c	62$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.37	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Lakers	61c	61.41$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.95	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Lakers	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…f2cabacked Lakers	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed 76ers	51c	58.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2dd…59bbbacked 76ers	54c	55.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.94	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed 76ers	52c	55.37$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.85	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers	47c	54$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.51	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked 76ers	39c	54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	243	30.5%74 W · 169 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed 76ers	48c	51.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	148	55.4%82 W · 66 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Lakers	60c	51.78$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.71	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers	25c	51.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 76ers	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193e…76ebbacked Lakers	45c	44.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.09	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Lakers	46c	41.83$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.59	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Lakers	53c	39.96$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.68	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed 76ers	53c	37.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Lakers	49c	36.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.73	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…4dccbacked Lakers	48c	31.04$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.04	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers	47c	30.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Lakers	53c	30.47$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.27	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Lakers	53c	30.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Lakers	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	71	54.9%39 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bd…6504backed 76ers	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…4605backed 76ers	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed 76ers	40c	29.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Lakers	53c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Lakers	53c	28.2$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.35	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Lakers	60c	28.15$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.33	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+7.8wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43f6…ee3ebacked 76ers	74c	27.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Lakers	47c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.35	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Lakers	45c	24.47$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Lakers	48c	24.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.66	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd80…7503backed Lakers	48c	22.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.92	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Lakers	49c	21.08$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Lakers	48c	20.96$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Lakers	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Lakers	53c	19.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.21	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event