NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aeec0d4ec53ef5cdb4522b551baadb1e7d558ff357e84ce7a2b03becc4729fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 57c | 70,245$40,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,869.22 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 32,477$15,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,228.71 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 30,030$13,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,172.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 42c | 16,275$6,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,835.49 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 42c | 15,900$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.97 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 54c | 15,034$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.05 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 53c | 11,052$5,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.48 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 42c | 10,677$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.42 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 8,488$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 50c | 7,337$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.61 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 6,809$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 53c | 4,751$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.94 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 4,396$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 4,069$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.3 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 3,058$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.61 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 2,905$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 2,402$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.04 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 58c | 2,320$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.4 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 2,175$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…c2b8backed Under | 49c | 1,921$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 43c | 1,750$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.36 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 53c | 1,466$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.04 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…1d52backed Over | 51c | 1,360$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 49c | 1,349$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.94 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 1,154$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 46c | 1,049$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.06 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Over | 58c | 861.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.88 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 734.07$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.01 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 592.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 51c | 577.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…5ce5backed Over | 51c | 417$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…390bbacked Under | 50c | 288$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 58c | 286.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 264$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 181.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4136…97eabacked Over | 51c | 144$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Under | 43c | 133.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 41c | 129.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 49c | 87.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 50c | 40.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…59bbbacked Under | 46c | 33.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…ae18backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x668c…fc62backed Over | 54c | 26.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 43c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 51c | 25.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…50b4backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. LakersLakers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.