NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeafd1313e251b3f56bcf32fcbce05b168fef4a71d02eb92071e00dbc4995b2f8

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Over	36c	40,125$14,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,672.81	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	63c	37,952$24,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,064.02	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over	60c	13,848$8,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,582.72	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	42c	6,442$2,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,689.22	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	6,032$2,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,947.69	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over	42c	5,082$2,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,935.02	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	41c	4,776$1,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935.83	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	60c	3,410$2,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a9…591fbacked Over	42c	3,107$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,802.44	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	38c	3,037$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,871.07	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	65c	2,800$1,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.82	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	59c	2,431$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.78	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under	63c	2,240$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.95	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	64c	2,183$1,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.58	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	40c	1,874$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.38	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	57c	1,855$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.39	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under	40c	1,680$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	62c	1,574$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.38	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	42c	1,510$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.89	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Over	51c	1,382$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.28	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	51c	1,334$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.17	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	59c	1,333$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.18	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	41c	1,201$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.46	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	40c	1,009$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.99	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over	55c	916.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.23	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	64c	836.57$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.03	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Under	66c	830.06$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	67c	694.48$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.51	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under	65c	684$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.3	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	41c	660$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.6	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	61c	573.52$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.14	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under	41c	463.05$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under	56c	460.48$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.34	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under	70c	429.43$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	49c	425.65$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.26	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	53c	322.9$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.02	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Under	64c	312.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	31c	307.15$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.51	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	46c	260.85$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	46c	237.85$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.44	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Under	69c	215.21$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.45	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	52c	198.06$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.23	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over	49c	160.75$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.43	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	60c	133.58$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.49	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	59c	132.94$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.54	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	121.51$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.91	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under	62c	103.74$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.07	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	59c	103$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.23	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e14…8d33backed Under	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-5.1wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Under	67c	96.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over	13c	86.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.82	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	40c	66.77$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	65c	61.05$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.68	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	66c	60.74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Under	64c	58.86$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.67	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under	62c	57.31$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.68	145	57.9%84 W · 61 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under	55c	54.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	400	48.3%193 W · 207 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	64c	52.47$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under	64c	51.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.72	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	40c	46.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…d97dbacked Under	51c	41.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	45c	40.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	43c	39.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Under	40c	37.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over	46c	35.78$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.18	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	48c	31.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.22	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c50…4e1ebacked Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	59c	30.49$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.35	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.99	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	40c	29.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668c…fc62backed Over	57c	25.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.11	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Under	43c	25.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed Under	68c	23.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.11	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over	60c	23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Under	56c	21.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	47	74.5%35 W · 12 L	+8.2wins	+0.17per pick	57cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event