NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16213bb2236bcbd29401f8efe00543b1203036b8015359aee55dde48c5b6c5d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Over | 54c | 33,096$17,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,868.03 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 47c | 16,845$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,847.51 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 16,501$7,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,814.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 10,658$4,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.02 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 8,026$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.52 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 5,463$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.57 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 3,775$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.88 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,866$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,612$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 53c | 2,520$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 1,920$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 53c | 1,917$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.32 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,699$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.47 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 1,583$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 1,448$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 51c | 1,066$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.45 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 53c | 952$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.46 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 922.94$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 54c | 916.57$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.57 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 704.6$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.23 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 37c | 289.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Under | 58c | 278.54$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Under | 46c | 249.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 55c | 172.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…ae18backed Under | 67c | 159.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 154.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 153.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 8c | 138.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 52c | 74.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 49c | 40.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 46c | 39.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 48c | 30.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 49c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 28.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 47c | 24.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 56c | 20.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 50c | 20.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 77c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. LakersLakers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.