TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b71…0e06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.4
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$5.25
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.52
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$3.99
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$38.27
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.04
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$163.85
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.6%+$45.69
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$35.65
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.31
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$38.64
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42%+$13.42
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$20.18
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.85
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
76ers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30.45
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$15.24
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.51
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.74
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+256.3%+$71.11
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.28
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+59.7%+$44.28
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.57
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$179.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$57.37
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.4%+$11.74
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.7%+$91.59
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$64.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+137.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$56.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+34.6%+$74.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$50.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O'Higgins FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.