TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof BNK FEARX, Gen.G
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1d4…38d6backed BNK FEARX5c30,448$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.482072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed BNK FEARX29c12,960$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.3620438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BNK FEARX11c9,922$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.151,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Gen.G77c9,911$7,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.81,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked BNK FEARX2c5,300$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.995733.3%19 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX19c5,200$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.161,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Gen.G69c4,500$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Gen.G73c4,089$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.7867552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Gen.G77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Gen.G77c3,772$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.8270162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Gen.G75c3,446$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.4951160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX22c3,326$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.042,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Gen.G78c3,243$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.874955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked BNK FEARX19c3,008$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.6813345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BNK FEARX32c2,892$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.611,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gen.G69c2,300$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.9870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked BNK FEARX27c2,266$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.984332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed BNK FEARX18c2,007$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.294134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed BNK FEARX25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012137.2%45 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed BNK FEARX16c2,000$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.732737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked BNK FEARX27c1,824$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed BNK FEARX23c1,756$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.2385746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked BNK FEARX23c1,330$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3122336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BNK FEARX22c1,326$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.991,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Gen.G69c1,300$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.7921857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Gen.G69c1,250$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.550643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Gen.G69c1,241$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.561,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BNK FEARX33c1,220$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40050242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX33c1,211$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.981,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf022…1ae9backed BNK FEARX1c1,097$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.973312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked BNK FEARX9c1,093$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BNK FEARX20c1,089$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.521,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX24c1,050$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.992,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Gen.G76c1,033$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.5731644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed BNK FEARX25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed BNK FEARX27c914.51$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4316040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed BNK FEARX22c907.37$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3545041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Gen.G77c871.26$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.391,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX23c811.59$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.333,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gen.G70c807.91$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6685046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed BNK FEARX23c736.56$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4140232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked BNK FEARX5c733.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70e5…b0d3backed BNK FEARX3c729.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.881921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Gen.G69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.645757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed BNK FEARX14c706.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed BNK FEARX31c635.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031855.7%177 W · 141 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed BNK FEARX31c625.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.825236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Gen.G65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BNK FEARX21c534$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.481,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed BNK FEARX16c509.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7721819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed BNK FEARX32c500$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15840347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed BNK FEARX23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf36c…440abacked Gen.G65c499.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1756653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX25c499.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4d…1a07backed BNK FEARX17c490.39$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.154748.9%23 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c09…e714backed BNK FEARX22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007950.6%40 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa211…754bbacked BNK FEARX23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked BNK FEARX12c426.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed BNK FEARX24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016050.6%81 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed BNK FEARX17c415.16$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1212433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed BNK FEARX27c408.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11056432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked BNK FEARX3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Gen.G78c379.98$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.664553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Gen.G78c375.5$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.611,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed BNK FEARX22c363.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013040%52 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed BNK FEARX30c353.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BNK FEARX21c348.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8885442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5f…e63cbacked BNK FEARX17c327.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.762128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked BNK FEARX13c321.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.32828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa193…cc99backed BNK FEARX23c320$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked BNK FEARX32c315.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed BNK FEARX21c304.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9957947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed BNK FEARX17c300.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8341347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked BNK FEARX12c300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3556317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef0…f811backed BNK FEARX19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Gen.G77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6963352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x237b…e373backed Gen.G78c299.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked BNK FEARX36c298.23$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3826645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db9…3a33backed Gen.G77c294.41$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.71366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Gen.G76c290$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Gen.G74c271$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1761143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Gen.G80c268.5$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.946258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked Gen.G76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1622646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Gen.G77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.749147.3%43 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe605…ebabbacked Gen.G74c241.63$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked BNK FEARX23c239.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Gen.G78c232.05$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0524436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Gen.G78c227.69$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.091,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked BNK FEARX22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Gen.G75c223.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3644751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed BNK FEARX21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x899c…9311backed Gen.G69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6212445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked BNK FEARX25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed BNK FEARX21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228923.5%68 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed BNK FEARX26c192.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7554944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4b…881fbacked Gen.G74c183.32$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.163161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed BNK FEARX15c179.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.769745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX16c175.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.911,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.