Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf560e9b16540838b310a80f965b87227ba81f65f30c4f8d7e098aae1565186e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 1,228$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.43 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 29c | 470$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Over | 32c | 450.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Over | 33c | 351.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 67c | 272.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked Under | 78c | 256$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed Over | 22c | 256$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…f86dbacked Under | 73c | 198.85$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 30c | 193.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 67c | 156.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Over | 22c | 149$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked Under | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Under | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Over | 22c | 128$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked Under | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d92…2e20backed Over | 17c | 116.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 27c | 104.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 28c | 97.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 14c | 92.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 34c | 91.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Over | 34c | 88.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked Under | 73c | 71.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Under | 75c | 63.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…c296backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 72c | 31.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Under | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Under | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…c0f6backed Under | 73c | 29.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 73c | 25.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed Under | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 73c | 18.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Under | 68c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 67c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageGen.G won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.