TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cc6…241d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.77
Clemson Tigers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$99.47
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)backed Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.18
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Texas State Bobcats (W)backed Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.6
West Georgia Wolves vs. Lipscomb Bisons (W)backed Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39.16
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Ole Miss Rebels (W)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+57.9%+$65.63
Spread: Houston Christian Huskies (-1.5)backed Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$49.59
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Northwestern State Demons (W)backed East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.36
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+234.4%+$54.68
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$374.35
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Stetson Hatters (W)backed Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$31.92
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.1
Colorado State Rams vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 1?backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$94.1
First Blood in Game 2?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.44
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$43.2
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.88
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.64
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.4%+$199.42
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$133.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$56.32
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+334.8%+$152.46
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+203%+$99.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick29cpaid+381.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+1,524.1%+$244.93
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$147.42
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+41.2%+$20.72
Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+1,232.5%+$148.92
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.3%+$13.1
1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+127.3%+$49.84
Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.49
Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$256.5
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+193.9%+$148.44
Will Equifax Inc (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+36.9%+$28.32
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Vaccine" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Halda Therapeutics" or "Haida Therapeutics" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$43.7
Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$336.14
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+32.9%+$108.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$295.26
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+334.8%+$99.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+220.5%+$99.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.4%+$18.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.