Earnings · resolved market
Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849ccba97e929ad084891b4ac7e0398e776b541e28536131d5110e8b819b0553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3983…e638backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 4c | 5,551$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked No | 52c | 1,929$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,716$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.04 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…387abacked No | 55c | 1,499$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 2c | 1,428$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…30f2backed Yes | 45c | 1,393$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…1638backed Yes | 10c | 1,341$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +476.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 23c | 1,205$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…e220backed Yes | 7c | 948.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +273.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 30c | 940.77$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.13 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 10c | 930$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked No | 6c | 825.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed No | 68c | 802.18$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…4135backed No | 66c | 800$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 22c | 728.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.35 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 44c | 685.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.23 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 10c | 549.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed Yes | 21c | 504$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked No | 78c | 432$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 66c | 424.6$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed Yes | 19c | 364.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 10c | 296.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 17c | 291.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed No | 79c | 252$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92da…82fabacked Yes | 16c | 245.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 223.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…8a38backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 29c | 221$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked No | 37c | 204.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed No | 79c | 203$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 41c | 201.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…af64backed Yes | 12c | 169.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 160.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed Yes | 70c | 158.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 71c | 131.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Yes | 22c | 129$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Yes | 22c | 128$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked Yes | 77c | 122.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 44c | 112.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…05f5backed Yes | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…ce75backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 99.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 31c | 87.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed No | 72c | 82.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…6c92backed No | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 77c | 52.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 71c | 51.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…39a8backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ef…cb02backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 30c | 43.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…f6d0backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 32c | 39.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…07e4backed Yes | 51c | 33.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…bb54backed No | 59c | 30.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…4b2ebacked No | 37c | 27.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 26.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…74dcbacked Yes | 49c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 63c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.