TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5271…f692

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Earnings at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$99.69
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.02
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Northwestern State Demons (W)backed Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.36
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-4.5)backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
Spread: Southern Jaguars (-3.5)backed Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-13.5)backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48.02
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+127.5%+$85.73
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$99.28
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Stetson Hatters (W)backed Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.64
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$85.1
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NSB (-1.5) vs FUSION X (+1.5)backed No Sweat Blossom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.46
Valorant: FUSION X vs No Sweat Blossom - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUSION X · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.23
Valorant: Equipe Caos vs HOLY (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group Abacked Equipe Caos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+177.8%+$99.84
Valorant: FUSION vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.94
Valorant: LAZER vs LYON - Map 1 Winnerbacked LAZER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Map Handicap: CHE (-1.5) vs Fuego (+1.5)backed Chivas Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+177.8%+$99.84
Valorant: Fuego vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.06
Map Handicap: QoR (-1.5) vs YFP Gaming (+1.5)backed YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$79.8
Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked LAZER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49.7
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$99.55
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.25
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 1?backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$92.16
First Blood in Game 2?backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+105.5%+$99.58
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$60.3
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$49.88
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$95.65
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$199.36
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+44.9%+$158.72
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$99.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+185.7%+$99.45
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$63.17
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.51
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.1%+$13.04
Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.07
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.68
Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+300%+$49.5
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.16
Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+69.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$87.02
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$76.85
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$36.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 3: Woods vs. Beuke (Middleweight, Main)backed Beuke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+125%+$48.88
Zuffa Boxing 3: Molina vs. Clark (Lightweight, Main)backed Molina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+80.7%+$39.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$44.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+105.1%+$99.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$55.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.