Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUSION vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a590bfbb6a9f685594566e4156e9a856c35a118dc5813afb023a84dc716eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUSIONof FUSION, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUSION | 36c | 1,321$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.47 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed FUSION | 52c | 1,320$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Contra | 3c | 919$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Contra | 46c | 841.72$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.47 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Contra | 62c | 827.02$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.63 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Contra | 51c | 772.41$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…7d87backed FUSION | 75c | 762.57$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Contra | 65c | 744.56$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Contra | 48c | 659.85$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.37 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Contra | 39c | 599.12$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FUSION | 40c | 593.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.59 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Contra | 58c | 539.33$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.22 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed FUSION | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FUSION | 14c | 499.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Contra | 56c | 424.41$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed FUSION | 13c | 264.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Contra | 38c | 240.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked FUSION | 76c | 239.56$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Contra | 34c | 218.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FUSION | 15c | 217.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FUSION | 30c | 208.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FUSION | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked FUSION | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Contra | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Contra | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Contra | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed FUSION | 35c | 177.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Contra | 62c | 169.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked FUSION | 65c | 166.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Contra | 12c | 165$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed FUSION | 35c | 152.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed FUSION | 45c | 130.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Contra | 9c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed FUSION | 42c | 119.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Contra | 59c | 111.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed FUSION | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…c346backed FUSION | 75c | 94.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Contra | 73c | 82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Contra | 70c | 82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Contra | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked FUSION | 47c | 80.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FUSION | 14c | 75.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Contra | 67c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Contra | 68c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Contra | 69c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed FUSION | 34c | 58.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed FUSION | 54c | 55.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Contra | 49c | 52.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Contra | 41c | 51.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Contra | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Contra | 39c | 49.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed FUSION | 61c | 47.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Contra | 56c | 46.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Contra | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed FUSION | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Contra | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Contra | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…06c2backed Contra | 40c | 39.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Contra | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Contra | 64c | 30.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b66…3907backed Contra | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FUSION | 63c | 25.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUSION vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BBB (-1.5) vs FUSION (+1.5)FUSION won
- Valorant: FUSION vs Contra - Map 1 WinnerFUSION won
- Valorant: FUSION vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerContra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.