TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x997c…7c81

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 1?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$56.34
First Blood in Game 2?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.41
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$49.88
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.68
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.73
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+334.8%+$99.33
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$113.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Clemson Tigers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+146.6%+$99.29
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)backed Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.84
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Texas State Bobcats (W)backed Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
West Georgia Wolves vs. Lipscomb Bisons (W)backed West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.16
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds (W)backed Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+247%+$153.04
Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-13.5)backed Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.06
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Stetson Hatters (W)backed Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75.36
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$42.6
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$85.1
Colorado State Rams vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.34
Will Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.84
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+30.7%+$15.02
Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
Will Equifax Inc (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+39.6%+$109.48
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Halda Therapeutics" or "Haida Therapeutics" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$168.48
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.44
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+257.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+733.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+47.7%+$47.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$66.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.3%+$27.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.