Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 3: Woods vs. Beuke (Middleweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x123f32d8180b36ceb662eb5ccdffbe2a331d82a8ad8b80da83fcae0821cd3b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beukeof Woods, Beuke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Woods | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Beuke | 50c | 399.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Beuke | 44c | 356$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Woods | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Woods | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Beuke | 44c | 179$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed Woods | 56c | 176$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked Woods | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Woods | 37c | 135.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Woods | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked Woods | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Beuke | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed Woods | 56c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Woods | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Woods | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.