TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb68b…e6d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+103.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.23
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$74.82
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$49.59
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+2.5)backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+334.3%+$104.69
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$199.36
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.32
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.08
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,076.2%+$198.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NSB (-1.5) vs FUSION X (+1.5)backed FUSION X · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$99.84
Valorant: FUSION X vs No Sweat Blossom - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUSION X · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$58.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.64
Valorant: Fuego vs LAZER - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Valorant: Fuego vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Valorant: QoR vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$112.23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$56.16
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.32
UCAM Esports Club to win 1 maps?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$78.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+120.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+1,203.6%+$148.65
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$49.88
Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.4
1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$12.4
1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-84.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Georgia Wolves vs. Lipscomb Bisons (W)backed Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$78.32
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds (W)backed Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$61.63
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.13
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.6
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$85.1
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$107.62
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.4
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+190.6%+$135.12
Will Equifax Inc (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$143.64
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Halda Therapeutics" or "Haida Therapeutics" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$62.76
Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+376.2%+$398.16
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 3: Woods vs. Beuke (Middleweight, Main)backed Woods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$99.14
Zuffa Boxing 3: Molina vs. Clark (Lightweight, Main)backed Molina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+80.7%+$39.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$67.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+43.1%+$21.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.