NBA · resolved market
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb5bcbbadd57c2451ad816738b01aba6f14bc458b121f5ce0650801c8106e07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 9c | 17,358$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.78 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 11c | 11,004$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.81 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 13c | 9,986$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.27 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 2c | 4,462$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 21c | 4,413$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.73 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 15c | 4,048$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.22 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Yes | 12c | 3,999$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.83 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 4c | 3,541$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.61 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…3d89backed Yes | 12c | 2,480$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 23c | 2,381$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 23c | 2,094$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 2,026$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,805$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,713$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +250.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,686$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 1,662$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 1,501$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 6c | 1,497$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 20c | 1,490$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Yes | 13c | 1,485$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…9e31backed Yes | 21c | 1,421$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes | 12c | 1,400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…600ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 7c | 1,359$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…22bebacked Yes | 14c | 1,200$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 10c | 1,182$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Yes | 9c | 1,086$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…930cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Yes | 8c | 987.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…63c7backed Yes | 2c | 962.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 21c | 950.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.29 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf654…0cdcbacked Yes | 18c | 944.05$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 4c | 935.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…70f2backed No | 79c | 927$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Yes | 24c | 909.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 19c | 892.49$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 743.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Yes | 2c | 740.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…eb6fbacked Yes | 14c | 738.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Yes | 11c | 696.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…bdfcbacked Yes | 14c | 688.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…dabdbacked Yes | 27c | 664.44$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…d7d9backed Yes | 14c | 611.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…220cbacked Yes | 25c | 600.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 24c | 600$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…efbebacked Yes | 5c | 557.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…5258backed Yes | 25c | 546.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…b580backed Yes | 4c | 544.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4233…a2d4backed Yes | 4c | 530.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 18c | 527.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…9a89backed Yes | 9c | 517.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 4c | 510$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 23c | 500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…d972backed Yes | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 11c | 499.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0a23backed Yes | 21c | 482.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 29c | 478.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…7fdabacked No | 80c | 471$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9ce0backed Yes | 11c | 455.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 432.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 79c | 431.1$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 420.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…f37bbacked Yes | 7c | 400.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…ec81backed Yes | 14c | 396.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Yes | 13c | 378.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f3…9d2ebacked Yes | 14c | 364.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…69fabacked Yes | 7c | 352.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 28c | 349.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff4…9a30backed Yes | 14c | 340.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…aee8backed Yes | 8c | 338.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 10c | 337$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 3c | 330$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4337backed Yes | 30c | 327.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Yes | 23c | 326.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 16c | 322$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 17c | 308.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 12c | 299.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 8c | 287.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 5c | 285$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…68e3backed No | 78c | 256.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 11c | 246.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70d…6889backed Yes | 7c | 245.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d2…d5f5backed Yes | 25c | 243.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…497bbacked Yes | 10c | 234$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 21c | 229.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 11c | 227.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…d5acbacked No | 78c | 222.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…0320backed Yes | 9c | 219.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…13d9backed Yes | 23c | 216.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 8c | 213.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Yes | 18c | 208$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Yes | 13c | 203.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…e325backed Yes | 25c | 200.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…1f5abacked Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…e8e1backed Yes | 7c | 198.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?this page
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Charlotte Hornets?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Cleveland Cavaliers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Philadelphia 76ers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Houston Rockets?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.