TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb61…58ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Olympics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.9%+$32.65
Will Jim Schwartz be the next Cleveland Browns Head Coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the San Francisco 49ers be eliminated in the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$43.99
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+614.3%+$153.57
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$230.77
Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$33
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Shedeur Sanders start a game for the Browns?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Rams Team Total: O/U 28.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+203.6%+$2,346.05
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$883.08
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$162.64
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$233.88
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.7%+$432.64
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Israel strike on Damascus by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.41
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+363.1%+$695.29
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$600.84
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.81
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$208
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$223
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.5%+$49.48
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.7%+$687.31
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$213.42
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Trump visit China before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.53
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.03
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.96
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$782.54
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$649.26
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$248
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$324.13
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$460.93
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$638.27
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$151.01
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 219 or more votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$175.68
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$585
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$83.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: DN SOOPers vs DRX - Game 4 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Doran (Choi Hyeon-joon) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Will Faker (Lee Sang-hyeok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$193.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.1%+$141.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-77.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-65.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$587
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$282.73
Will Solana reach $160 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$505.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+37.7%+$90.5
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$104.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+67.3%+$101.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.