Boxing · resolved market
Boxing: Will Usyk vs. Dubois end in a Draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1509c0496174415e9569033902ad2cebeeb0961bcdaa44a55d56acae3e4dc67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes | 5c | 20,585$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,852$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 2c | 3,518$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…7e27backed Yes | 5c | 2,316$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…3a5abacked Yes | 3c | 1,786$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…c8a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,570$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…8db5backed Yes | 3c | 1,523$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3f…9f0ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,385$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 2c | 1,263$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…0a15backed Yes | 2c | 1,254$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…52e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…40cbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,061$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…8033backed Yes | 5c | 1,031$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…c5b9backed Yes | 2c | 999.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1d6ebacked Yes | 3c | 923.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…a58fbacked Yes | 4c | 905.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked Yes | 2c | 567.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…cf78backed Yes | 4c | 533.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…c3ccbacked Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 4c | 515.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…6064backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779f…c35cbacked Yes | 4c | 491.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…502ebacked Yes | 3c | 457.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…da1dbacked Yes | 3c | 448.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…d353backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…0558backed Yes | 3c | 430.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea92…53ffbacked Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8551…baebbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…32a2backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…fb8abacked Yes | 3c | 399.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…b72dbacked Yes | 3c | 320.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…36f0backed Yes | 3c | 318.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…8d9cbacked Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0120…371bbacked Yes | 4c | 227.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boxing: Will Usyk vs. Dubois end in a Draw?this page
- Boxing: Will Dubois win by Decision?No won
- Boxing: Will Dubois win by KO/TKO/DQ?No won
- Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?No won
- Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?Yes won
- Boxing: Will the Usyk vs. Dubois end any other way?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.