NFL · resolved market
Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d48a76500de283c0676bc2a3282ee48740d05e02cb9f96770658e2fa0c89fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 66c | 3,926$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…34e5backed Yes | 65c | 2,610$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…8e8fbacked Yes | 65c | 2,487$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…e39fbacked No | 34c | 2,452$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb8…394bbacked No | 37c | 2,378$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,082$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.97 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…8397backed No | 37c | 1,931$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc108…9b9dbacked No | 37c | 1,929$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…02b7backed No | 34c | 1,846$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…f8fabacked Yes | 63c | 1,829$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…b70fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,756$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6c…11f0backed No | 37c | 1,668$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…c9abbacked No | 37c | 1,654$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…833abacked Yes | 65c | 1,446$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 50c | 1,385$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.06 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…9fbabacked No | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…f338backed Yes | 63c | 1,334$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…909dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,314$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fee…0c94backed Yes | 63c | 1,312$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…b9d3backed Yes | 64c | 1,257$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…7d4ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,232$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef8…ef44backed Yes | 63c | 1,161$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…096cbacked No | 32c | 1,122$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…22f8backed Yes | 66c | 1,078$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…6ecabacked No | 37c | 1,061$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6331…6e97backed No | 37c | 1,040$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…a410backed No | 37c | 1,002$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e19…7ca4backed No | 37c | 961$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 952.93$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.28 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 59c | 937$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…e208backed No | 37c | 842$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…e7a4backed No | 37c | 842$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…bc21backed No | 37c | 828$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…db11backed No | 37c | 826$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…8253backed Yes | 24c | 782$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…5b5abacked Yes | 63c | 768$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…272ebacked Yes | 63c | 711$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…81b2backed Yes | 63c | 706$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 47c | 673$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…dfa0backed Yes | 63c | 654$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 70c | 636.61$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.76 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Yes | 41c | 611$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed No | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 67c | 575.79$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.36 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 56c | 569$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.74 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae54…8587backed Yes | 63c | 533$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…f5b6backed Yes | 63c | 498$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 60c | 433.31$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.63 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…a45abacked No | 33c | 394$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9377backed Yes | 63c | 386$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…0523backed No | 37c | 368$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e84…5bbbbacked Yes | 67c | 344$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 41c | 334$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 72c | 333$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 41c | 326$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…9478backed Yes | 21c | 318$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…d451backed Yes | 67c | 314$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529a…c545backed Yes | 21c | 288$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2d…a919backed Yes | 67c | 278$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 61c | 276.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 18c | 264.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…2bcdbacked Yes | 24c | 263$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 252.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…1428backed No | 37c | 246$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…8a4ebacked Yes | 24c | 238$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +180%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa814…49c4backed Yes | 22c | 237$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked No | 77c | 227$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…085bbacked Yes | 24c | 222$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…6d8ebacked Yes | 21c | 218$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…e9fdbacked Yes | 24c | 206$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +180%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…a917backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…c378backed Yes | 48c | 166.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…c793backed Yes | 42c | 164.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +8.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…125dbacked Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed Yes | 26c | 156$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 42c | 147.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…5f75backed Yes | 24c | 147$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 56c | 142.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…c81ebacked No | 29c | 141$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…c451backed Yes | 20c | 136$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…38abbacked No | 37c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f0…8af3backed No | 29c | 127$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…f7f5backed No | 78c | 122$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…320fbacked Yes | 79c | 121.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 45c | 121$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…5ca2backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…9a90backed Yes | 20c | 119$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…32d6backed No | 76c | 118$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…c934backed No | 79c | 116$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…e459backed No | 79c | 113$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…1225backed Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…3f57backed Yes | 24c | 111$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…43debacked Yes | 21c | 111$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Yes | 29c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…4651backed Yes | 21c | 109$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…01c2backed Yes | 21c | 108$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings make the playoffs?No won
- Will the New England Patriots make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Saints make the playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Giants make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.