NFL · resolved market
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab140d1938fb8a753567f10c1bbf485fae201cd1e65b276fff31fb292594138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,681$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 60c | 1,556$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.24 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed Yes | 34c | 1,438$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 1,412$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.59 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 21c | 1,327$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed No | 41c | 1,326$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,257$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.43 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 41c | 1,242$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 40c | 1,184$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 41c | 1,137$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,130$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…986cbacked No | 40c | 1,105$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 79c | 1,101$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,034$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked Yes | 59c | 988$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 78c | 920$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 41c | 906$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 79c | 882$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…909dbacked Yes | 28c | 872$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fee…0c94backed Yes | 28c | 872$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…a45abacked Yes | 28c | 872$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…dfa0backed Yes | 28c | 872$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…0523backed Yes | 28c | 872$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…81b2backed Yes | 28c | 872$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…22f8backed Yes | 28c | 872$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…5ef0backed Yes | 28c | 872$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes | 21c | 841$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 60c | 829$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…68d2backed Yes | 21c | 824$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 60c | 818$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 77c | 816$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 59c | 812$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 59c | 804$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 59c | 797$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 59c | 793$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 79c | 720.84$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 21c | 710$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 41c | 689$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 23c | 679$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 41c | 675$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 23c | 673$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 41c | 654$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…e208backed No | 72c | 652$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 72c | 646$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…38abbacked No | 72c | 644$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…5b5abacked No | 72c | 638$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 41c | 637$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 59c | 632$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 59c | 620$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 59c | 615$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 79c | 615$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef8…ef44backed No | 72c | 611$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6331…6e97backed No | 72c | 605$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 41c | 600$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 59c | 588$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 59c | 587$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…096cbacked No | 72c | 586$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked No | 41c | 586$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed No | 77c | 580$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +200%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 59c | 578$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 51c | 567$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 41c | 561$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…7d4ebacked No | 72c | 559$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 59c | 556$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 41c | 554$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…12ffbacked No | 72c | 550$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…4ac4backed No | 79c | 544.49$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…e39fbacked No | 72c | 540$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 59c | 539$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked No | 40c | 530$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…1428backed No | 72c | 523$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 38c | 522$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 41c | 514$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 77c | 512$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2d…a919backed No | 72c | 506$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 21c | 504$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 59c | 497$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 78c | 486$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed No | 77c | 477$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 5c | 476.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 41c | 467$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 41c | 457$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 41c | 455$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 41c | 448$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 43c | 447$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…272ebacked No | 72c | 441$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 79c | 440$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 21c | 419$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 59c | 415$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 78c | 412$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 41c | 397$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 67c | 390.42$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 41c | 374$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 59c | 367$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 23c | 357$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 40c | 355$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 59c | 344$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 79c | 343$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings make the playoffs?No won
- Will the New England Patriots make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Saints make the playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Giants make the playoffs?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.