TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2247…96e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.59
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$512.19
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.52
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+229.3%+$539.64
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$68.44
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$220.95
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80.32
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$350.72
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$290.08
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.65
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.11
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$132.62
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$64.64
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$62
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$92.2
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.08
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$544.41
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$101.25
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$73.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.02
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.2
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$92.04
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.88
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$267.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$152.32
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$270.48
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+185.7%+$575.9
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$204.82
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.88
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$66.65
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$96.88
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$146.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.62
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.46
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.42
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.25
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$108.73
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$252
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.76
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.92
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$141.6
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$199.92
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$208.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.34
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.99
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.05
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$672.48
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+400%+$179.2
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+406.7%+$414.97
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$118.2
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+240.7%+$1,222.95
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.82
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$196.35
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$185.74
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.55
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.1
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.4
Will more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.55
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.68
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$375.96
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+194.1%+$108.9
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$172.71
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+186%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Blackburn Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.54
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$558.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$150.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+60.5%+$124.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$303.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.