Middle East · resolved market
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0c2fb9bbd76edffd0e085dc3fd183da25452f900e1fdbb0ffedf1a656f7dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71da…bb4cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,791$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,194$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 1,628$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…74a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,314$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…0593backed Yes | 4c | 1,133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 21c | 935.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 15c | 713.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 9c | 700.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 4c | 687$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 5c | 634.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 584.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…c822backed Yes | 9c | 583.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 511.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 21c | 486$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 79c | 475$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 14c | 471$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…6149backed No | 57c | 457.96$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 19c | 449$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…ddc8backed Yes | 6c | 409.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +1,791.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 56c | 383$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 79c | 330$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 21c | 312$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 44c | 306$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…3feabacked Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +333.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 13c | 270$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 71c | 261$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 21c | 246$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…6718backed Yes | 29c | 236.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 19c | 221$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed Yes | 14c | 217$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 19c | 214$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 210.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 197.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55f…77eebacked Yes | 7c | 196$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 19c | 192$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 13c | 185$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Yes | 14c | 183$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 14c | 176$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 17c | 172$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed Yes | 14c | 169$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 6c | 167.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed Yes | 14c | 161$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 45c | 148.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked Yes | 14c | 148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 56c | 143$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked Yes | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 139.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 42c | 132.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…d1acbacked Yes | 16c | 126.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed No | 57c | 122.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…857bbacked Yes | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes | 18c | 104.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1d…2d6fbacked Yes | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 80c | 92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 20c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed Yes | 14c | 86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…d215backed Yes | 13c | 86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 19c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 15c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 55c | 68.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…31e5backed Yes | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed No | 58c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…2873backed No | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 46c | 54.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 28c | 52.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2f62backed No | 61c | 43.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde33…3487backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ba…408fbacked No | 62c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 54c | 26.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…9dc6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.