TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7cb…2f62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$15.4
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$29.55
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.8
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs RMD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40%+$17.07
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$22.89
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.49
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$14.86
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.09
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$15.4
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$9.92
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$68.06
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.64
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$79.79
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 64% and 66%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 62% and 64%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$92.91
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 60% and 62%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48.79
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35%+$64.48
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 58% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.67
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.86
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$196.74
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$200.78
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 82% and 84%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$26.55
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 86% and 88%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+101.3%+$174.35
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+91.5%+$30.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$16.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.