Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079873229147671294117bf62f0ba84c087cee8415366ee97b50af57ebabfc38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Natus Vincere, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 100,000$30,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,499.95 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 19,647$13,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,580.97 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 19,370$9,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,437.9 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 18,959$10,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,528.64 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 15,753$10,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.45 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 13,128$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.31 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 12,221$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 11,957$7,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.32 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 10,539$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.28 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 9,545$6,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.58 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 9,304$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.3 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 8,833$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.11 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 8,644$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.96 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 8,469$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.71 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 8,455$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.5 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 7,745$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.86 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 7,206$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.53 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 6,831$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.81 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 6,578$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.38 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 6,503$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.8 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 5,853$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.97 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 5,574$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.22 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 5,313$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.63 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 4,379$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.03 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 4,211$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.38 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 4,177$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.62 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 4,076$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.66 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 4,068$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.89 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 3,939$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.77 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 3,892$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.03 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 3,806$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.35 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 3,729$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.09 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 3,574$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.27 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,092$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.6 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446f…b09fbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,068$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 3,022$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.1 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,983$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.51 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,566$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.42 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,434$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.97 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,194$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.91 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 2,170$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.59 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,066$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.29 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 2,042$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.08 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 2,032$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.46 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 1.8%4 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,891$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,862$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.61 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,763$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.08 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 1,677$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.33 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,672$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.02 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,569$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 1,559$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.47 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 1,504$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.89 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,478$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.79 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,407$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.25 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,326$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.49 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,299$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,297$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.94 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,295$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.37 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,288$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.52 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,281$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.93 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,280$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.77 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,272$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.93 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,207$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.15 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd86a…167ebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,163$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,139$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,093$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,056$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.41 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,000$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 999.31$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 995.17$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.95 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 980.8$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 927.92$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.93 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 865.57$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.68 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 852.4$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.66 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 839.74$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.07 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 807.02$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.25 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 801.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 774$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 741.79$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.96 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 728.7$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 669.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.7 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 665.96$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 662.56$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 648.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 640.7$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.71 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 623.13$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 599.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.73 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 598.24$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 597.6$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 575.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 564.74$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…2d64backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 563.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.24 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.