Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca4f6ca04f36519ef0db8409cec6f2a1dc337e7a8f5ac4d309b62212972bdad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 18,558$8,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,206.86 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 11,500$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.7 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 9,546$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.87 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 5,788$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.68 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…d66fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,563$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,357$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.5 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.19 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 3,661$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.77 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,277$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.05 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 2,094$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.6 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,815$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.21 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,614$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.6 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,557$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.24 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,508$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.32 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 1,429$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.73 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,345$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.93 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,322$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.86 | 232 | 41.4%96 W · 136 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,265$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.7 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,200$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.99 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 1,179$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.56 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.01 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 958.98$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.12 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 887.85$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.44 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 833.95$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.26 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 567.77$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.83 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 498.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 485.59$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 464.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.56 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…703ebacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 399.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…466dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 370.91$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…6718backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 324.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 316.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 304.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 301.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 297.56$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 288.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb394…74cebacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 259.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 254.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 234.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 214.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 213.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 206.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 201.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 189.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 183$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 181.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 178.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 174.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 174.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 165.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 160.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 151.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…6c45backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 146.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73a…8183backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 91.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 73.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 61.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 54.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 53.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…7006backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 205 | 63.4%130 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 48.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 169 | 50.3%85 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 47.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 46.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 43.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 43.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 42.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 42.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 39.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 39.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 37.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 33.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 32.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 30.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 27.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.