TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb72…6c45

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT7451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.98
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$243.5
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$73.5
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$152.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,207.24
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.57
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$169.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$130
Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$145
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$137.5
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gerald Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Colby Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.01
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will Paulo Costa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+183.5%+$74.37
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.99
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Kelvin Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.84
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.6
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$41.76
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$38.42
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$41.4
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.52
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+87%+$179.19
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.