TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over47c100,000$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,999.9441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c61,422$32,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,868.186855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under53c52,908$28,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,866.6292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over48c10,092$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8444047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c10,091$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.9465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c9,450$4,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,374.821,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c9,004$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.71,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.975,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over48c1,938$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.0511749.6%58 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.151,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Over48c1,549$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.562040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c1,547$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.241,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over20c1,387$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.994,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c1,140$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.051,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over48c1,054$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.951,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over19c994.21$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.91,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over48c847.44$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7736649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over48c812.86$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over20c605.25$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.461,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c600.03$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.016,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x044b…19acbacked Under54c540.82$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Over11c522.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed Over48c504.58$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c503.35$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over48c409.68$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6512449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7619842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over54c377.35$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.979,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under46c365.11$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.355451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over18c348.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.643,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c328.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.521,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under53c320.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Over48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3218151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over48c296.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4126545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf681…66f4backed Under53c282.79$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c3…df51backed Over48c274.17$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391b…a066backed Under53c270.31$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over47c263.12$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6756851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under52c240.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2431039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c207.67$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6821847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c201.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under51c190.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.522457.1%128 W · 96 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Under54c188.64$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.915657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under54c161.46$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.943855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under53c137.52$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.636347.6%30 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over32c109.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1955464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c105.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under53c102.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9672648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4427644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb72…6c45backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4749649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74c…2413backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.479455.3%52 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over46c97.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8621538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.59349.5%46 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Under54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.421050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over27c79.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.521,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Over47c73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.315839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over15c69.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1213439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over49c66.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.346,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over53c55.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.691,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba83…4f66backed Under53c53.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.292955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2222450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2220955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3323…f667backed Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.222850%14 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cec…7c61backed Over49c49.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.233444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over48c47.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9530750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over48c46.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.289147.3%43 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc548…faa4backed Under54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Under45c42.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.381866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecd2…38d1backed Over47c42.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db2…2415backed Under54c41.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3819248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…129dbacked Over40c37.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a66…a5d7backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2420950.2%105 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over48c36.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.38per pick56cpaid-64.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5310542.9%45 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Over48c30.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210344.7%46 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c43…1608backed Under53c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c29.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.041,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over48c28.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5633547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under52c27.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3318649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854e…5da3backed Under53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under51c25.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea75…f4babacked Under60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Over48c23.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1616345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under52c23.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.092,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over48c22.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6911854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…93d3backed Over48c21.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under62c20.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.655,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1386653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over59c17.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.416453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.