MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a526dfad1adbc0c72ce4eb035b4dfc2017be124461ed4ce23e8b0fac21b9571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,999.94 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 61,422$32,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,868.18 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 52,908$28,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,866.62 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 10,091$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.94 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 9,450$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.82 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 9,004$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.7 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.05 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.15 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 48c | 1,549$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 1,547$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.24 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 20c | 1,387$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.05 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 48c | 1,054$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.95 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 994.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 48c | 847.44$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.77 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 48c | 812.86$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 20c | 605.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 600.03$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044b…19acbacked Under | 54c | 540.82$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Over | 11c | 522.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Over | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 503.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 48c | 409.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 377.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 46c | 365.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 18c | 348.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 328.16$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under | 53c | 320.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 296.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…66f4backed Under | 53c | 282.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…df51backed Over | 48c | 274.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Under | 53c | 270.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 47c | 263.12$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 240.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 52c | 207.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 201.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 51c | 190.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 54c | 188.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 54c | 161.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 32c | 109.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 105.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 53c | 102.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…6c45backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 97.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 27c | 79.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Over | 47c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 15c | 69.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 49c | 66.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 53c | 55.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…4f66backed Under | 53c | 53.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…7c61backed Over | 49c | 49.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 47.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over | 48c | 46.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…faa4backed Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Under | 45c | 42.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Over | 47c | 42.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…2415backed Under | 54c | 41.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…129dbacked Over | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 48c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed Under | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 48c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 52c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…5da3backed Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…f4babacked Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Over | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 23.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 48c | 22.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…93d3backed Over | 48c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 62c | 20.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 59c | 17.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 3.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota TwinsNo Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.