TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cec…7c61

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT8446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+237.3%+$710.64
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.74
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$67.74
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.32
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-5.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.38
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$336.09
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.94
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.69
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96%+$65.24
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$45.88
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.19
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.45
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+306.7%+$201.41
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$25.62
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$48.41
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.66
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.98
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.21
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.51
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.78
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$36.95
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+998.9%+$143.24
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$42.21
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$5.46
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$29.62
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$5.67
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$5.7
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$31.86
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$7.76
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$12.18
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+295.3%+$49.04
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$5.55
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$12.91
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$19.23
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$20.62
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$19.63
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.49
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.14
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.21
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$50.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$164.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$239.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$141.92
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$108.02
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$15.84
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26%+$3.9
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.97
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$84.38
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.85
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,523.37
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$8.91
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$70.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.66
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$10.15
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$17.95
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$9.83
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$13.27
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$33.83
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$22.51
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$32.22
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+224.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+224.9%+$73.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$79.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$207.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.