MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93d93438037da0bbc2b17856c543289ed6d3bdcc9723fd6bf0f744c09120892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $447,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 44,043$14,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,709.69 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 30,433$8,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,214.88 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 23,324$16,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,017.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 21,111$12,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,233.27 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 19,994$11,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,940.37 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 16,217$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.63 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 15,244$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,508.49 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 14,499$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 12,191$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,876.4 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 11,817$7,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 7,722$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.19 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 7,391$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 5,853$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 5,817$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 4,732$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.33 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,508$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.12 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 4,258$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.2 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,989$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.2 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 3,478$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.83 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,932$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.6 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,703$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.3 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,692$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,680$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.93 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 2,678$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…5001backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,526$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 2,300$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.07 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 2,212$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.42 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 2,028$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.03 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,950$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,845$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.65 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,505$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.58 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,504$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.52 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,495$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.1 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,393$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.44 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,389$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.55 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,363$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,339$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.39 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,279$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,268$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.96 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,245$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,170$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.76 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,111$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.55 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,061$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.62 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,060$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.55 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,020$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,005$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…7b50backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 906.29$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 899.55$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.94 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 871$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.58 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 829.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.65 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 799.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 740.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.48 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 738.77$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 676.43$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.38 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 620.58$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.23 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 618.55$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 608.7$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 567.33$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 563.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.62 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 560.76$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 543$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 530.14$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 503.71$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 476.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.94 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 476$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.56 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 470$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 456.52$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 422.39$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 410$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 404.51$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 389.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 379.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.53 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 375.87$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.87 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 360.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Chicago Cubs | 33c | 350$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.