TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e65…694f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT7549.3%37 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinkabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.41
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$173.7
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitnerbacked Hugo Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$164.29
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.5
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.49
Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Keegan Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.58
ITF Bali: Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi vs Sam Ryan Ziegannbacked Sam Ryan Ziegann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$325.73
ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Phambacked Derek Pham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.74
ITF Brisbane: Tai Leonard Sach vs Jeremy Zhangbacked Tai Leonard Sach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.87
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.33
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
ITF Slovenska Bistrica: Lucio Ratti vs Denis Petakbacked Lucio Ratti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$88.4
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$45.14
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Giles Husseybacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,902.01
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.73
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomezbacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.75
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$2,247.95
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$471.75
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$795.59
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$273
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatovbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.13
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT6647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.8
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.75
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$344
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$37.83
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$387
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$17.64
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$11.55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,364.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.37
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$699.95
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.1
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.25
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.99
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.32
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.5
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+998.9%+$272.68
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.06
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Bbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.59
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$229.15
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.38
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,336.84
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.33
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$182.27
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.97
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+247.4%+$540.08
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.85
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$489.19
Counter-Strike: Omega vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.24
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$74.73
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Dripmen (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$14.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.68
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$48.84
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+640.8%+$146.25
NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.81
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,919Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+751.1%+$14,416.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$98.7
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.99
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.05
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.6
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$44.1
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$80.52
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.19
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.2
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,254.98
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,313.34
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$909.99
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$345
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$91.56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.28
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.07
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$45.08
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$37.26
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$15.2
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.1
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,373.98
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,409.83
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+206.4%+$54.92
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$199
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.43
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.06
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stagebacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.01
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+264.7%+$86.37
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+41%+$288.01
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$146.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+223.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+547.7%+$1,099.3
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$138.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$12.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.