MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b81fe9c2fd924dcfdbd2c8892cff5384f08a69082917cc1799276e46321a118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $968,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,001,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $968,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 400,615$187,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,452.93 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 53c | 164,218$87,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,182.24 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 53c | 120,000$63,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,400 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 54c | 85,555$46,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,355.3 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 53c | 49,880$26,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,541.41 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed New York Mets | 59c | 43,614$25,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,937.34 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Atlanta Braves | 25c | 30,000$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,642.54 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.89 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 72c | 26,110$18,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,376.39 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…ce84backed Atlanta Braves | 13c | 25,866$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 71c | 25,308$18,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,213.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Atlanta Braves | 7c | 20,769$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.04 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 52c | 19,220$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.31 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Atlanta Braves | 12c | 16,393$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.68 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Atlanta Braves | 13c | 15,362$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 74c | 14,235$10,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed New York Mets | 53c | 14,000$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 54c | 13,548$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.15 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 13,000$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 9,328$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…32a8backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 7,778$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 74c | 7,075$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 53c | 6,181$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.26 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…4960backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 6,123$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 74c | 5,806$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 5,718$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.73 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 4,894$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.97 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New York Mets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.97 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 3,923$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.73 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 3,750$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.5 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 3,637$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 64c | 3,479$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.17 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Atlanta Braves | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 53c | 2,721$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.84 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 2,597$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 71c | 2,554$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed New York Mets | 78c | 2,525$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.88 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Atlanta Braves | 10c | 2,359$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.51 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf776…bd5cbacked Atlanta Braves | 21c | 2,172$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 67c | 2,140$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.28 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 2,052$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.78 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Atlanta Braves | 26c | 1,958$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,700$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Atlanta Braves | 17c | 1,636$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,580$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.59 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 74c | 1,513$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.29 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed New York Mets | 69c | 1,448$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.74 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 77c | 1,294$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.05 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,173$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.52 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 1,063$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.97 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked New York Mets | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 57c | 988$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 61c | 893.53$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 840$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 839.34$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Atlanta Braves | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Mets | 75c | 808.89$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 16c | 805.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Atlanta Braves | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 730$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets | 71c | 724.66$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 54c | 680.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.26 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked New York Mets | 72c | 670.83$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 617.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…bfb8backed New York Mets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 599.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.49 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 599.97$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked New York Mets | 48c | 568$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 54c | 552.63$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 549.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 538.77$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Atlanta Braves | 8c | 531.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 516.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 509$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.14 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 502$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed Atlanta Braves | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Atlanta Braves | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Mets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 448.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.