TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9905…add3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10351.5%53 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$335.65
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$132.65
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$692.32
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.63
Drake Baldwin: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.24
Michael Harris II: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.79
Drake Baldwin: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+458.3%+$458.33
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$218.65
Ronald Acuña Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Drake Baldwin: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$436.77
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$664.65
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$619.21
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$633.94
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,824Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+160%+$4,520.04
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$923.38
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$427.11
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$577.36
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+293.5%+$9,979.72
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$541.56
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$354.72
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$858.48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$128.29
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+291.9%+$4,378.87
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.32
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$375.57
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.2
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.4
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+157.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+217.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,128.57
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,236
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$967.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,411Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$981.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$288.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.