MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3b27ec453ad23429c195e8ad0d97f80429eb9356ac50557ba6ebb0bb11f6170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Atlanta Braves, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 100,017$30,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,004.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves | 11c | 93,238$10,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,339.83 | 1,479 | 49.7%735 W · 744 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 81,850$60,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,480.16 | 4,473 | 47.5%2,126 W · 2,347 L | -74.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 75,957$34,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,341.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 36,845$28,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.66 | 3,232 | 48.1%1,554 W · 1,678 L | -15.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 27,991$15,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,115.36 | 255 | 48.2%123 W · 132 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 20,941$9,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,705.09 | 855 | 43%368 W · 487 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7603backed Atlanta Braves | 0c | 17,820$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 13,394$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.04 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 12,561$6,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,783.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 11,987$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,472.75 | 554 | 50.7%281 W · 273 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 13c | 7,952$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.49 | 8,788 | 52.6%4,623 W · 4,165 L | +509.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…2e6dbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 7,476$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 6,763$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.1 | 8,392 | 46.1%3,869 W · 4,523 L | +32.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 6,387$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.94 | 2,100 | 39.3%825 W · 1,275 L | -28.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 26c | 5,614$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.61 | 11,805 | 52.8%6,238 W · 5,567 L | +218.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 5,565$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.78 | 1,003 | 45%451 W · 552 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 336 | 56.5%190 W · 146 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 5,139$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.55 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…1498backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 4,918$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 4,639$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.55 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.82 | 376 | 43.6%164 W · 212 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 3,800$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.17 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 513 | 52.4%269 W · 244 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 3,418$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 2,244$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 2,237$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.09 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,108$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.22 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…5e20backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,024$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 911 | 53.7%489 W · 422 L | +25.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.96 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,957$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.03 | 7,153 | 50.5%3,614 W · 3,539 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Atlanta Braves | 10c | 1,879$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,760$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Atlanta Braves | 15c | 1,732$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 1,449$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,437$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,377$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.85 | 645 | 43.4%280 W · 365 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Atlanta Braves | 18c | 1,369$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 29.9%99 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,291$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.27 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,200$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 2,025 | 44.8%907 W · 1,118 L | -26.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,175$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Atlanta Braves | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 491 | 45.2%222 W · 269 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.83 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,083$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.91 | 1,555 | 51.3%797 W · 758 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…8bddbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,046$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 228 | 50%114 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 790.5$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 21c | 750$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 960 | 34.3%329 W · 631 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Atlanta Braves | 2c | 707.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1,929 | 17.2%331 W · 1,598 L | -321.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Atlanta Braves | 13c | 668.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 394 | 56.1%221 W · 173 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 630.22$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.62 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 600.01$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Atlanta Braves | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 222 | 23.4%52 W · 170 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 577.78$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 555.95$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 1,363 | 43.4%591 W · 772 L | -39.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 515.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 508.3$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 1,551 | 59.7%926 W · 625 L | +86.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 414.57$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 8,557 | 47.8%4,088 W · 4,469 L | +73.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 13c | 403.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 2,272 | 51.1%1,161 W · 1,111 L | +48.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…09d9backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 399.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 357.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 486 | 46.7%227 W · 259 L | -33.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 349.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 346.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 1,751 | 49.1%859 W · 892 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 338.57$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 334$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 594 | 52.9%314 W · 280 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 313.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 628 | 46.2%290 W · 338 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 310.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 310$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 603 | 52.7%318 W · 285 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Atlanta Braves | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 289.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 897 | 48.4%434 W · 463 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 284.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 1,424 | 43.6%621 W · 803 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…7e4abacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 283.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Atlanta Braves | 15c | 282.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 161 | 28.6%46 W · 115 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 274.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 12,332 | 46.4%5,727 W · 6,605 L | -67.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Atlanta Braves | 15c | 267$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Atlanta Braves | 17c | 253$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 250.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 530 | 47%249 W · 281 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1,332 | 44.1%588 W · 744 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1,227 | 43.6%535 W · 692 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…29b7backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 215.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 679 | 48.5%329 W · 350 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Atlanta Braves | 14c | 209.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.