TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3572…9d39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twinsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,929.18
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,655.68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,248.54
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,544Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,544.06
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.73
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.18
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$503.4
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$1,477.7
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$1,085.33
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$855.6
KBO: NC Dinos vs. SSG Landersbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.89
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giantsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$512.16
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.66
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$130.6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twinsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$96.47
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Lotte Giantsbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$926.39
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,478Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$1,971.7
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.58
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100.39
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$597.3
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.98
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,362.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,205.12
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,008.8
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210.35
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$1,595.74
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$1,067
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,557
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$939.9
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,746Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$1,706.65
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$2,884.6
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$632.4
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$305.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,114.99
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$393.89
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$152.97
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$660.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,832
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT+60.7%+$156.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$943.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.