MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c66c31d7e44923395bb0f0c96b16749cc0c21facdaafaaa7e1ea267c212cb31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed Doosan Bears | 4c | 1,537$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 1,278$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.66 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 468$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 40c | 312$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 232.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 227.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 165.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 141.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 121.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 113$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Samsung Lions | 74c | 92.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 88.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 79.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 71.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 70.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 69.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 60.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 59.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 53.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 40.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 27.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.