NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9dc09dbfc4433c7cdf713d67cb69d4a2845608b4a1d84becbb826ca14e89538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 48c | 13,222$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,330.59 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 32c | 6,743$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.7 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Warriors | 65c | 4,419$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.86 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 37c | 4,172$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.37 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed Warriors | 60c | 4,000$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Rockets | 62c | 3,688$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.3 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 3c | 3,455$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Rockets | 48c | 3,136$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Rockets | 14c | 2,849$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.8 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Warriors | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Rockets | 17c | 2,617$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.1 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Rockets | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 1c | 1,975$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Warriors | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 37c | 1,555$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.2 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 28c | 1,500$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Warriors | 37c | 1,440$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.36 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Rockets | 3c | 1,266$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Rockets | 19c | 1,238$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.97 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Rockets | 63c | 1,050$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Warriors | 37c | 1,050$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…ce8bbacked Warriors | 37c | 950$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Rockets | 63c | 949.97$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.48 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Rockets | 63c | 832.37$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…dd1cbacked Warriors | 37c | 807.03$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Warriors | 63c | 669$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Warriors | 73c | 546.84$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Rockets | 63c | 542.86$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Rockets | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Rockets | 61c | 458.29$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Warriors | 62c | 415.49$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Warriors | 35c | 404.13$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Rockets | 7c | 369.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Warriors | 39c | 316$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…162bbacked Rockets | 65c | 309.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Warriors | 59c | 281.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Rockets | 44c | 281.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…2955backed Warriors | 37c | 230$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…6320backed Warriors | 46c | 227.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Warriors | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Rockets | 7c | 195$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Warriors | 62c | 169.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Warriors | 38c | 166.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Rockets | 62c | 159.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Rockets | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 35c | 149.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Warriors | 61c | 149.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Warriors | 53c | 141.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Warriors | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Rockets | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Warriors | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Rockets | 60c | 101.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Warriors | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…1ff9backed Rockets | 64c | 92.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Warriors | 39c | 90.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Warriors | 80c | 86.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…821ebacked Warriors | 38c | 77.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…ebb6backed Warriors | 35c | 71.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Rockets | 62c | 70.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…cf18backed Rockets | 67c | 70.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Warriors | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Warriors | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…c40dbacked Warriors | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Rockets | 18c | 58.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…04c0backed Warriors | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Warriors | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Warriors | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x324e…1e02backed Warriors | 38c | 48.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Warriors | 38c | 48.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Rockets | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Warriors | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Rockets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…6020backed Warriors | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Warriors | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Rockets | 65c | 30.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Warriors | 37c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Warriors | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked Warriors | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…c5abbacked Warriors | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Rockets | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Rockets | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…ab13backed Rockets | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1e96backed Rockets | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…6e66backed Warriors | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…1304backed Rockets | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.