TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x879b…9cb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.61
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.66
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.9
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.72
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$795
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$230
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$174.57
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$510
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$360
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$450.29
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$194.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.95
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$107.21
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.69
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$561.51
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$194.56
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+203%+$506.57
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$593.14
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+26.6%+$138.81
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$56.1
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+56.3%+$15.76
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$524.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$68.6
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$176.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+222.9%+$572.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$649
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$346.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.