NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4fd123d30aee7f2adaab885408f719f4878c19e60d903c46e80927572388ea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Jazz, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jazz | 9c | 67,438$6,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,013.81 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 8c | 16,149$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.96 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz | 5c | 8,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz | 2c | 7,614$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Jazz | 3c | 4,775$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Jazz | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 10c | 3,003$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Jazz | 9c | 2,822$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Jazz | 8c | 2,806$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz | 7c | 2,610$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 6c | 2,400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Jazz | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Jazz | 7c | 1,643$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Jazz | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 7c | 1,227$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Jazz | 2c | 1,070$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Jazz | 6c | 1,040$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Jazz | 13c | 1,015$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Jazz | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Jazz | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Jazz | 6c | 999.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…dc7abacked Jazz | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Jazz | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Jazz | 9c | 708.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Jazz | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Jazz | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Jazz | 7c | 454$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Jazz | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Jazz | 8c | 299.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Jazz | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Jazz | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8eb3backed Jazz | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…f177backed Jazz | 8c | 152.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…6bbbbacked Jazz | 8c | 149.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Jazz | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Jazz | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jazz | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.